urban achiever

2012 College Football Under and Over Achievers

Now that the college football season has come to a close it’s time to look at the biggest under and over achievers of the season. This is going to be fairly simple. We’re going to take a look at the combined recruiting rankings for teams over the last 4 years and use that data to find out who is squeezing the most out of their recruits and who is squandering their talent.  I know we could go with 5 years of classes to account for redshirts but there are also players that leave early so we’ll just bank on the fact that it should even out. I am going to use Rivals recruiting rankings. If that is a problem for you then rewrite the article using ESPN, Scout, or another service and email it to me.

Let’s first get the top 25 combined 4 year recruiting rankings.

Rank Team 2009 2010 2011 2012 Average
1 Alabama 1 5 1 1 2
2 Texas 5 3 3 2 3.25
3 USC 4 1 4 8 4.25
4 Florida State 7 10 2 6 6.25
5 Florida 11 2 12 3 7
6 LSU 2 6 6 18 8
7 Georgia 6 15 5 12 9.5
8 Auburn 19 4 7 10 10
9 Ohio State 3 25 11 4 10.75
10 Oklahoma 13 7 14 11 11.25
11 Tennessee 10 9 13 17 12.25
12 Michigan 8 20 21 7 14
13 Notre Dame 21 14 10 20 16.25
14 Oregon 32 13 9 16 17.5
15 South Carolina 12 24 18 19 18.25
15 Stanford 20 26 22 5 18.25
17 Miami (FL) 15 16 36 9 19
18 Clemson 37 19 8 14 19.5
19 UCLA 14 8 45 13 20
20 Texas A&M 22 17 27 15 20.25
21 Nebraska 28 22 15 25 22.5
22 California 42 11 17 23 23.25
23 Mississippi 18 18 19 40 23.75
24 North Carolina 9 29 16 44 24.5
25 Virginia Tech 23 23 33 22 25.25

Alabama had the #1 four year recruiting class and finished #1 this year. Boring. Let’s look at the top 25 sorted by Overachieveness.

We’ll use the final AP Top 25 poll since it includes Tattoo U.

Rank Team Recruiting Rank AP Rank Achieveness
1 Texas A&M 20 5 15
2 Oregon 14 2 12
3 Notre Dame 13 4 9
3 Stanford 16 7 9
5 South Carolina 15 8 7
5 Clemson 18 11 7
7 Ohio State 9 3 6
8 Georgia 7 5 2
9 Alabama 1 1 0
10 Florida 5 9 -4
10 Nebraska 21 25 -4
12 Oklahoma 10 15 -5
13 Florida State 4 10 -6
14 LSU 6 14 -8
15 Michigan 12 24 -12
15 UCLA 19 31 -12
17 Texas 2 19 -17
18 USC 3 NR Trash
18 Auburn 8 NR Trash
18 Tennessee 11 NR Trash
18 Miami (FL) 17 NR Trash
18 California 22 NR Trash
18 Mississippi 23 NR Trash
18 North Carolina 24 NR Trash
18 Virginia Tech 25 NR Trash

The Aggies take the top spot of Overachieving. Between this and having the Heisman winner they may want to settle down. Nobody likes a showoff.

Now it’s time to sift through the dumpster and see who was the biggest underachiever this year. Here is the trash sorted by recruiting rank and final record.

Rank Team Recruiting Rank Record
1 Auburn 8 3-9
2 California 22 3-9
3 Tennessee 11 5-7
4 USC 3 7-6
5 Mississippi 23 7-6
6 Virginia Tech 25 7-6
7 Miami (FL) 17 7-5
8 North Carolina 24 8-4

Now you can easily make a case to slide USC up past Tennessee into the 3 slot, maybe even all the way up to the 2 slot since having the combined 3rd ranked recruiting class resulted in a 7-6 season including a bowl loss to a 7-7 Georgia Tech team.

Either way though Auburn was the biggest underachiever of the year. The War Eagle must have been drunk for the season. They went 0-8 in the SEC and failed to beat a BCS conference team. Their wins included an OT game vs Louisiana Monroe, New Mexico State, and Alabama A&M. A truly awful year. Historically bad. All this with the combined #8 four year recruiting class. Bollocks.

  • Biff

    Would be interesting to see where Auburn would have been ranked the year they won the title.